CON GAIN from LD: Upper Meon Valley, Winchester — 2015 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Upper Meon Valley ward from Liberal Democrats in Winchester on 7 May 2015. The Conservative majority was 588 votes (47.1%). Turnout was 77.7%. The swing was 23.8% from LD to CON.
Frequently Asked Questions — Upper Meon Valley Ward
Who won the Upper Meon Valley ward election in 2015?
Conservative gained Upper Meon Valley ward at the 7 May 2015 Local Election, taking the seat from Liberal Democrats. Conservative won with a majority of 588 votes (47.1%). Turnout was 77.7%.
What was the swing in Upper Meon Valley at the 2015 election?
The swing in Upper Meon Valley was 23.8% from LD to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Upper Meon Valley ward elect to?
Upper Meon Valley is a ward within Winchester. Councillors elected here sit on Winchester Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 77.7% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Upper Meon Valley in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.