Frequently Asked Questions — Vale of Clwyd Constituency

Who won the Vale of Clwyd constituency election in 2019?

Conservative gained Vale of Clwyd constituency at the 12 December 2019 General Election, taking the seat from Labour. Conservative won with a majority of 1,827 votes (4.9%). Turnout was 65.7%.

What was the swing in Vale of Clwyd at the 2019 election?

The swing in Vale of Clwyd was 5.5% from LAB to CON — a significant shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.

What does swing mean in UK elections?

Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Vale of Clwyd in 2019 is shown in the statistics above.