CON GAIN from GRN: Shipston North, Stratford-on-Avon — 2019 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Shipston North ward from Green Party in Stratford-on-Avon on 2 May 2019. The Conservative majority was 307 votes (30.8%). Turnout was 33.9%. The swing was 39.5% from GRN to CON.
Conservative gained Shipston North ward at the 2 May 2019 Local Election, taking the seat from Green Party. Conservative won with a majority of 307 votes (30.8%). Turnout was 33.9%.
What was the swing in Shipston North at the 2019 election?
The swing in Shipston North was 39.5% from GRN to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Shipston North ward elect to?
Shipston North is a ward within Stratford-on-Avon. Councillors elected here sit on Stratford-on-Avon Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 33.9% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Shipston North in 2019 is shown in the statistics above.
