CON GAIN from LD: Kinwarton, Stratford-on-Avon — 2015 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Kinwarton ward from Liberal Democrats in Stratford-on-Avon on 7 May 2015. The Conservative majority was 758 votes (43.7%). Turnout was 97.3%. The swing was 33.4% from LD to CON.
Conservative gained Kinwarton ward at the 7 May 2015 Local Election, taking the seat from Liberal Democrats. Conservative won with a majority of 758 votes (43.7%). Turnout was 97.3%.
What was the swing in Kinwarton at the 2015 election?
The swing in Kinwarton was 33.4% from LD to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Kinwarton ward elect to?
Kinwarton is a ward within Stratford-on-Avon. Councillors elected here sit on Stratford-on-Avon Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 97.3% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Kinwarton in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.
