LAB GAIN from IND: Rainhill, St. Helens — 2015 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Labour gained Rainhill ward from Independent in St. Helens on 7 May 2015. The Labour majority was 2,387 votes (39.3%). Turnout was 68.5%. The swing was 36.0% from IND to LAB.
Labour gained Rainhill ward at the 7 May 2015 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Labour won with a majority of 2,387 votes (39.3%). Turnout was 68.5%.
What was the swing in Rainhill at the 2015 election?
The swing in Rainhill was 36.0% from IND to LAB — a modest shift towards LAB. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Rainhill ward elect to?
Rainhill is a ward within St. Helens. Councillors elected here sit on St. Helens Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 68.5% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Rainhill in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.