CON GAIN from IND: Belfairs, Southend-on-Sea — 2024 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Belfairs ward from Independent in Southend-on-Sea on 2 May 2024. The Conservative majority was 313 votes (12.2%). Turnout was 35.0%. The swing was 17.4% from IND to CON.
Conservative gained Belfairs ward at the 2 May 2024 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Conservative won with a majority of 313 votes (12.2%). Turnout was 35.0%.
What was the swing in Belfairs at the 2024 election?
The swing in Belfairs was 17.4% from IND to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Belfairs ward elect to?
Belfairs is a ward within Southend-on-Sea. Councillors elected here sit on Southend-on-Sea Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 35.0% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Belfairs in 2024 is shown in the statistics above.
