CON GAIN from IND: Hilsea, Portsmouth — 2018 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Hilsea ward from Independent in Portsmouth on 3 May 2018. The Conservative majority was 871 votes (28.7%). Turnout was 29.2%. The swing was 46.3% from IND to CON.
Conservative gained Hilsea ward at the 3 May 2018 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Conservative won with a majority of 871 votes (28.7%). Turnout was 29.2%.
What was the swing in Hilsea at the 2018 election?
The swing in Hilsea was 46.3% from IND to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Hilsea ward elect to?
Hilsea is a ward within Portsmouth. Councillors elected here sit on Portsmouth Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 29.2% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Hilsea in 2018 is shown in the statistics above.
