LAB GAIN from IND: Lye Valley, Oxford — 2018 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Labour gained Lye Valley ward from Independent in Oxford on 3 May 2018. The Labour majority was 616 votes (46.1%). Turnout was 27.6%. The swing was 34.5% from IND to LAB.
Labour gained Lye Valley ward at the 3 May 2018 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Labour won with a majority of 616 votes (46.1%). Turnout was 27.6%.
What was the swing in Lye Valley at the 2018 election?
The swing in Lye Valley was 34.5% from IND to LAB — a modest shift towards LAB. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Lye Valley ward elect to?
Lye Valley is a ward within Oxford. Councillors elected here sit on Oxford Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 27.6% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Lye Valley in 2018 is shown in the statistics above.