Frequently Asked Questions — North Ayrshire and Arran Constituency

Who won the North Ayrshire and Arran constituency election in 2015?

Scottish National Party gained North Ayrshire and Arran constituency at the 7 May 2015 General Election, taking the seat from Labour. Scottish National Party won with a majority of 13,573 votes (25.2%). Turnout was 71.1%.

What was the swing in North Ayrshire and Arran at the 2015 election?

The swing in North Ayrshire and Arran was 16.8% from LAB to SNP — a modest shift towards SNP. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.

What does swing mean in UK elections?

Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for North Ayrshire and Arran in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.