CON GAIN from LD: Upper Lune Valley, Lancaster — 2019 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Upper Lune Valley ward from Liberal Democrats in Lancaster on 2 May 2019. The Conservative majority was 17 votes (1.9%). Turnout was 46.7%. The swing was 14.8% from LD to CON.
Frequently Asked Questions — Upper Lune Valley Ward
Who won the Upper Lune Valley ward election in 2019?
Conservative gained Upper Lune Valley ward at the 2 May 2019 Local Election, taking the seat from Liberal Democrats. Conservative won with a majority of 17 votes (1.9%). Turnout was 46.7%.
What was the swing in Upper Lune Valley at the 2019 election?
The swing in Upper Lune Valley was 14.8% from LD to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Upper Lune Valley ward elect to?
Upper Lune Valley is a ward within Lancaster. Councillors elected here sit on Lancaster Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 46.7% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Upper Lune Valley in 2019 is shown in the statistics above.
