CON GAIN from IND: Baxenden, Hyndburn — 2021 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Baxenden ward from Independent in Hyndburn on 6 May 2021. The Conservative majority was 247 votes (18.8%). Turnout was 40.9%. The swing was 29.7% from IND to CON.
Conservative gained Baxenden ward at the 6 May 2021 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Conservative won with a majority of 247 votes (18.8%). Turnout was 40.9%.
What was the swing in Baxenden at the 2021 election?
The swing in Baxenden was 29.7% from IND to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Baxenden ward elect to?
Baxenden is a ward within Hyndburn. Councillors elected here sit on Hyndburn Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 40.9% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Baxenden in 2021 is shown in the statistics above.
