CON GAIN from LD: Barnwood, Gloucester — 2015 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Barnwood ward from Liberal Democrats in Gloucester on 7 May 2015. The Conservative majority was 871 votes (17.7%). Turnout was 62.9%. The swing was 15.0% from LD to CON.
Conservative gained Barnwood ward at the 7 May 2015 Local Election, taking the seat from Liberal Democrats. Conservative won with a majority of 871 votes (17.7%). Turnout was 62.9%.
What was the swing in Barnwood at the 2015 election?
The swing in Barnwood was 15.0% from LD to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Barnwood ward elect to?
Barnwood is a ward within Gloucester. Councillors elected here sit on Gloucester Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 62.9% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Barnwood in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.