LD GAIN from CON: Fair Oak & Horton Heath, Eastleigh — 2023 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Liberal Democrats gained Fair Oak & Horton Heath ward from Conservative in Eastleigh on 4 May 2023. The Liberal Democrats majority was 172 votes (5.4%). Turnout was 36.5%. The swing was 10.6% from CON to LD.
Frequently Asked Questions — Fair Oak & Horton Heath Ward
Who won the Fair Oak & Horton Heath ward election in 2023?
Liberal Democrats gained Fair Oak & Horton Heath ward at the 4 May 2023 Local Election, taking the seat from Conservative. Liberal Democrats won with a majority of 172 votes (5.4%). Turnout was 36.5%.
What was the swing in Fair Oak & Horton Heath at the 2023 election?
The swing in Fair Oak & Horton Heath was 10.6% from CON to LD — a modest shift towards LD. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Fair Oak & Horton Heath ward elect to?
Fair Oak & Horton Heath is a ward within Eastleigh. Councillors elected here sit on Eastleigh Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 36.5% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Fair Oak & Horton Heath in 2023 is shown in the statistics above.
