CON GAIN from GRN: Horndean Downs, East Hampshire — 2011 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Horndean Downs ward from Green Party in East Hampshire on 5 May 2011. The Conservative majority was 394 votes (40.3%). Turnout was 48.5%. The swing was 40.4% from GRN to CON.
Conservative gained Horndean Downs ward at the 5 May 2011 Local Election, taking the seat from Green Party. Conservative won with a majority of 394 votes (40.3%). Turnout was 48.5%.
What was the swing in Horndean Downs at the 2011 election?
The swing in Horndean Downs was 40.4% from GRN to CON — a modest shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Horndean Downs ward elect to?
Horndean Downs is a ward within East Hampshire. Councillors elected here sit on East Hampshire Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 48.5% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Horndean Downs in 2011 is shown in the statistics above.
