CON GAIN from IND: Nash Mills, Dacorum — 2015 Local Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Nash Mills ward from Independent in Dacorum on 7 May 2015. The Conservative majority was 461 votes (27.9%). Turnout was 68.9%. The swing was 50.0% from IND to CON.
Conservative gained Nash Mills ward at the 7 May 2015 Local Election, taking the seat from Independent. Conservative won with a majority of 461 votes (27.9%). Turnout was 68.9%.
What was the swing in Nash Mills at the 2015 election?
The swing in Nash Mills was 50.0% from IND to CON — a significant shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
Which council does Nash Mills ward elect to?
Nash Mills is a ward within Dacorum. Councillors elected here sit on Dacorum Council, responsible for local services including planning, housing, social care, and waste collection. At this election 68.9% of eligible voters cast a ballot — local elections typically attract 25–40% turnout nationally.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Nash Mills in 2015 is shown in the statistics above.
