CON GAIN from LAB: Birmingham, Northfield — 2019 General Election Result | WIN326 — VPNews Elections
Conservative gained Birmingham, Northfield constituency from Labour on 12 December 2019. The Conservative majority was 1,640 votes (3.8%). Turnout was 58.5%. The swing was 7.2% from LAB to CON.
Who won the Birmingham, Northfield constituency election in 2019?
Conservative gained Birmingham, Northfield constituency at the 12 December 2019 General Election, taking the seat from Labour. Conservative won with a majority of 1,640 votes (3.8%). Turnout was 58.5%.
What was the swing in Birmingham, Northfield at the 2019 election?
The swing in Birmingham, Northfield was 7.2% from LAB to CON — a significant shift towards CON. Swing is calculated using the Butler two-party formula: the average of the change in winner's vote share and the fall in the runner-up's vote share compared to the previous election here.
What does swing mean in UK elections?
Swing measures how much support has shifted between two parties compared to a previous election. The Butler swing formula — used in British election reporting since the 1950s — takes the average of the gain in the winner's vote share and the loss in the runner-up's. A 5% swing is considered large at ward level; anything above 10% is exceptional. The swing figure for Birmingham, Northfield in 2019 is shown in the statistics above.
